-Here is a little NPV calculation with a 10% discount factor we get a stock price of $7.65, PE a modest 6.2;if it moves to the average market PE of 15 we would have a share price of $18.47. -this computation uses figures from the half year results, revenue growth at 45% to yr 2025 then nil growth, Gross margins at 82%, fixed expenses at $72m pa.
NPV at 10%
$M
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025 on
total
revenue
72
104
151
220
318
462
669
revenue Growth %
45%
45%
45%
45%
45%
45%
0%
GM %
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%
Gross profit
59
86
124
180
261
378
549
Fixed exps
-72
-72
-72
-72
-72
-72
-72
PL/cash flow
-13
14
52
108
189
306
477
NPV at 10%
-13
12
43
81
129
190
2960
3403
Shares on issue
445
share price
$7.65
PE
6.2
Implied price at PE of 15
$18.47
NEA Price at posting:
$4.19 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held