COB 3.16% 9.2¢ cobalt blue holdings limited

$93 million cap for 257.3 million shares including options 0.375...

  1. 3,397 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 349
    $93 million cap for 257.3 million shares including options
    0.375 minus 10% = 33 cents/ share @ capital raise with discounted offer.
    $630 million needed plus management bills and current overheads for 2.5 years construction period
    $630 million plus 5 million = $635 million

    635 million divided by 33 cents = 1.924 Billion shares plus the current 257.3 million on issue = 2.18 Billion shares at current evaluations.
    I would buy these shares but they are way overpriced today.
    if you produce 3700 tons per annum at $25/pound
    The case study is $10 cost price per pound
    so $15 so $15 profit/ pound.
    2200 metric pounds x 3700 tons = 8 140 000 pounds
    multiplied by $15 USA = $122 100 000 USA/ annum
    .122 x 1.3 exchange rate today = $158 730 000 au dollars.
    158 730 000 divided by 2.18 Billion shares is the earnings of 7.5 cents/share/ annum
    The numbers don’t look that bad but to get those earnings would project a 3 to 5 year period ahead.
    A good investor should at least double their investment every 5 years as a rule of thumb so discount the 7.5 cents to 3.75 cents if I invested today and only received a return in 5 years time..
    Given a multiple of earnings of 10 for this industry....
    That would place the share price at 37.5 cents/ share
    Why would I invest at a 5 year projected share price
    rate today? 20 cents/ share would be fair value today.
    Unless management comes up with a better solution
    going forward....
 
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Last trade - 10.12am 26/04/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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