Yes, annualizing a single prior quarter is fraught with danger.
To make it more forward-looking, and using my assumptions above, if I plug in US$1,000/t average realised price (converted to AUD at 0.67) then quarterly EBITDA is A$236M and based on today's share price the EV/EBITDA multiple is 21x.
The second half EBITDA will continue to sink as the pricing mechanism falls more into line with reported spot prices.
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