It looks like Griffith would need a swing a little greater than 12% - the greens must have given most of their preferences (all?) to labor.
Maybe if you can convert Willy Bach (or his replacement) to vote lib?
Have a look at http://www.tallyroom.com.au/election-2010/griffith
South Brisbane is the problem.
new poll...rudd is dead in the water in qld, page-7
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