HT8 0.00% 1.1¢ harris technology group limited

The 4C due in the coming few days will be an interesting read,...

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    The 4C due in the coming few days will be an interesting read, but I think the market is waiting on EBIT / NPBT numbers which we'll get in next month's FY21 report.

    While revenue numbers continue to grow substantially, larger investors may be more cautious given the Q1 NPBT of $800k on $9.8m revenue was tempered by Q2 which saw rev dip to $9.4 and NPBT to $250k. Informed investors understand the reasons behind this, and have been reassured HT8 is still in a significant growth phase as over the last 6 months we've seen sustained (phenomenal) 10%+ QOQ growth, with evidence pointing to maintaining this trajectory.

    But we don't yet know how this revenue growth translates to the bottom line.

    My NPBT estimate is $2.4m with an exit rate into FY22 of $3m. However I expect FY22 to be exceeded as revenue growth continues and the company takes advantage of margin improvement through scale, particularly in the following areas:
    - Cost of Goods (equating to Gross Profit) - greater purchasing power giving access to improved price breaks and more efficient logistics
    - Staff costs - HT8 has already demonstrated high proficiency in this area (take a look at staff cost increases vs revenue increase over last 12 months), and expect this to continue
    - Financing costs - we will see these decrease over coming 4Cs as debt is fully repaid in part by the latest CR and organically as we're CF+.

    Interested in other holders' NPBT expectations.

    Last edited by 68regit: 22/07/21
 
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