NCM 0.00% $23.35 newcrest mining limited

NCM will get hit hard today of that there is no doubt.Short term...

  1. 524 Posts.
    NCM will get hit hard today of that there is no doubt.

    Short term I think every asset class everywhere is vulnerable though. I intend to further reduce NCM exposure today and will add to my gold etf holdings - I believe the next 4-6 weeks will see a sell off in just about everything and I think the aud will likely be hard hit - a 10% fall in the aud over the next couple of months is quite likely.

    So whilst the USD gold price may hold at these levels or sell off back towards 1500 I expect the aud gold price to more than hold its own near term.

    My thought is the US Fed will unleash further QE if/should the DOW look like teetering through 10k - at that point I expect all asset classes to rally hard. I expect this to happen by the end of Feb next year.

    Longer term NCM will be fine given its balance sheet strength and 1.5b+ in free cash flows per annum.
    NCM share price doubled post gfc#1 and history will quite likely repeat , but as to where NCM( and many other oversold miners like mml) bottom who knows for sure.
 
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