- Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
(Adds quotes, details; updates prices; changes byline; previous LONDON)
The dollar held just below a 20-year high against a basket of currencies on Monday before an expected Federal Reserve rate hike this week, with traders focused on the potential for the U.S. central bank to adopt an even more hawkish tone than expected.
The Fed has taken an increasingly aggressive approach to monetary policy as it tackles inflation that is soaring at its fastest pace in 40 years. It is expected to hike rates by 50 basis points and announce plans to reduce its $9 trillion balance sheet when it concludes its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
Though the chances are seen as low, some investors are watching for the possibility of a 75 basis point hike, or a faster pace of balance sheet reduction than currently expected.
“A lot of traders are anticipating that the Fed’s not going to back down from this hawkish stance and you could still see some hawkish surprises, and that’s why the dollar is likely to hold on to its gains heading into the meeting,” said Edward Moya, a senior analyst with OANDA in New York.
Comments by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the conclusion of the meeting will also be scrutinized for any new indications on whether the Fed will continue to hike rates to battle rising price pressures even if the economy weakens.
The dollar was last at 103.51 against a basket of currencies =USD , after reaching 103.93 on Thursday, the highest since Dec. 2002.
The euro EUR=EBS was at $1.0513, after dropping to $1.0470 on Thursday, the lowest since Jan. 2017.
The single currency was hurt after data showed euro zone manufacturing output growth stalled last month as factories struggled to source raw materials, while demand took a knock from steep price increases.
It has suffered from concerns about inflation, growth and energy insecurity as a result of sanctions imposed on Russia after its invasion of Ukraine.
Global growth concerns have also boosted demand for the greenback as China shuts down cities in an attempt to stem the spread of COVID-19. Authorities in Shanghai on Monday reported 58 new cases outside areas under strict lockdown, while Beijing pressed on with testing millions of people.
The dollar gained 0.6% versus the Chinese yuan in offshore markets, reaching 6.6824 CNH=EBS , just below the 6.6940 touched on Friday, which was the highest since Nov. 2020.
The Japanese yen held just above 20-year lows reached against the dollar on Thursday, when the Bank of Japan strengthened its commitment to keep interest rates ultra-low by vowing to buy unlimited amounts of bonds daily to defend its yield target.
The Japanese currency JPY=EBS was last at 130.14, after after reaching 131.24 on Thursday, the weakest since April 2002.
======================================================== Currency bid prices at 9:40AM (1340 GMT)Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change Session Dollar index =USD 103.5100 103.2900 +0.22% 8.203% +103.5700 +103.1000 Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.0513 $1.0542 -0.27% -7.52% +$1.0575 +$1.0503 Dollar/Yen JPY=EBS 130.1350 129.8500 +0.24% +13.07% +130.4750 +129.6200 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 136.86 136.90 -0.03% +5.02% +137.6300 +136.5600 Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9762 0.9735 +0.28% +7.02% +0.9763 +0.9717 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 $1.2537 $1.2577 -0.31% -7.29% +$1.2596 +$1.2536 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.2903 1.2865 +0.30% +2.06% +1.2907 +1.2843 Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 $0.7047 $0.7059 -0.16% -3.04% +$0.7082 +$0.7033 Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0263 1.0263 +0.00% -1.02% +1.0269 +1.0229 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8385 0.8385 +0.00% -0.18% +0.8408 +0.8368 NZ NZD=D3 $0.6427 $0.6459 -0.48% -6.09% +$0.6474 +$0.6422 Dollar/DollarDollar/Norway NOK=D3 9.4655 9.3700 +0.95% +7.37% +9.4845 +9.3770 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.9523 9.8831 +0.70% -0.61% +9.9929 +9.8630 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.8947 9.8196 +0.44% +9.72% +9.9090 +9.7899 Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.4035 10.3582 +0.44% +1.66% +10.4297 +10.3480
