SINGAPORE, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The dollar was rooted near a...

  1. 186,785 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2746

    SINGAPORE, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The dollar was rooted near a two-week low on Thursday following minutes from the last U.S. Federal Reserve meeting that showed policymakers taking a cautious stance and as investors awaited key inflation data.

    The dollar index =USD , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was at 105.67, not far from 105.55, its lowest since Sept. 25 it touched on Wednesday. The index is down 0.4% for the week.

    Fed officials pointed to uncertainties around the economy, oil prices and financial markets as supporting "the case for proceeding carefully in determining the extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate," according to the minutes released on Wednesday from the Sept. 19-20 meeting.

    In recent comments, Fed officials have cited rising bond yields as a factor that may allow them to call it a day on their rate hike cycle.

    Also keeping the mood cautious was a mixed report on U.S. producer prices, which increased more than expected in September amid higher costs for energy products and food. But underlying inflation pressures at the factory gate continued to abate.

    "This (PPI data) is a reminder that the last mile of the fight against inflation is going to be a tough one," said Ryan Brandham, head of global capital markets, North America at Validus Risk Management.

    The report comes ahead of the release on Thursday of September's consumer price index data, which is expected to show inflation moderated last month.

    A downside surprise to inflation will likely support the case for the Fed to have finished its tightening cycle, thereby pulling down U.S. yields and the dollar, according to Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

    "On the flip side, an upside surprise will likely encourage markets to reprice higher the chance the Federal Open Market Committee will follow through on its projected 25 basis point hike."

    Futures markets are pricing in a 26% chance of a 25 basis point hike in the December meeting and a 9% chance of a 25 basis point hike in November meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

    The dollar's recent weakness has been driven by declining Treasury yields as bond prices rallied on the Fed's softer stance on future rate hikes. Bond yields move opposite to their price.

    The yield on 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR was down 3.5 basis points to 4.562%.

    The euro EUR=EBS was up 0.03% at $1.062, after touching an over two week high on Wednesday.

    Two influential European Central Bank policymakers said on Wednesday the central bank has made progress in getting inflation back down to target, but new shocks could still require the bank to continue a now-paused tightening cycle.

    The Japanese yen JPY=EBS strengthened 0.03% to 149.11 per dollar, while sterling GBP=D3 was last trading at $1.2311, flat on the day.

    The Australian dollar AUD=D3 rose 0.05% to $0.642, while the kiwi NZD=D3 fell 0.03% to $0.602.

    	======================================================== 
    	Currency bid prices at 0041 GMT 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	 High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change				  
    											  Session											
     Euro/Dollar	   EUR=EBS	$1.0621		$1.0620	 +0.02%		 -0.87%	  +1.0628	 +1.0619 
     Dollar/Yen		JPY=EBS	149.0950	   149.2600	-0.11%		 +13.61%	 +149.1500   +149.0100 
     Euro/Yen		 																			 
     Dollar/Swiss	  CHF=EBS	0.9011		 0.9020	  +0.00%		 -2.45%	  +0.9018	 +0.0000 
     Sterling/Dollar   GBP=D3	 1.2310		 1.2314	  +0.01%		 +1.83%	  +1.2319	 +1.2312 
     Dollar/Canadian   CAD=D3	 1.3591		 1.3593	  -0.01%		 +0.31%	  +1.3597	 +1.3588 
     Aussie/Dollar	 AUD=D3	 0.6416		 0.6414	  +0.03%		 -5.88%	  +0.6421	 +0.6410 
     NZ				NZD=D3	 0.6016		 0.6020	  -0.07%		 -5.27%	  +0.6021	 +0.6015 
     Dollar/Dollar																				   
    

    All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

    	<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 
    World FX rates	https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E 
    
    	^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>                    
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.