News: FOREX-Dollar little changed ahead of U.S. payrolls; short-term trend tilted to upside

  1. 193,698 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2825
    • Dollar index rises to highest since April 6
    • Dollar climbs to 15-month high vs yen
    • Aussie falls to December lows
    • Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

    (Adds new comment, dateline, FX table, U.S. data)

    The dollar was little changed to slightly higher on Thursday, with most currencies trading within narrow ranges, as investors looked to Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for clues on whether the Federal Reserve will start to reduce monetary stimulus sooner rather than later.

    The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major counterparts, rose to a three-month high of 92.547 =USD earlier in the session. It last traded modestly higher at 92.381.

    The index in June posted its best monthly performance since November 2016, driven in part by the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) unexpected hawkish shift at a meeting during the month. Fed forecasts released after the June FOMC meeting pencilled in two interest rate hikes by the end of 2023.

    Against the yen, the dollar hit a 15-month high of 111.625 yen JPY=EBS , and was last up 0.4% at 111.525.

    Increased vaccinations that have led to a more robust economic activity have sheltered the U.S. recovery from the pandemic, prompting expectations that the Fed could start to exit from its ultra-easy policy. That has provided a lift for the dollar.

    "The dollar got a justified boost in June based on physical activity taking place across the country because of inoculations," said Juan Perez, FX strategist and trader at Tempus Inc in Washington.

    "The rest of the world simply is not looking that safe, that prepared to move forward. But now comes the volatility as we gauge whether all the loose monetary policy out there can continue translating into economic growth beyond recovery."

    Traders are looking to Friday's U.S. payrolls report for confirmation of the market's bullish outlook. Economists polled by Reuters expect a gain of 700,000 jobs last month, compared with 559,000 in May, and an unemployment rate of 5.7% versus 5.8% in the previous month.

    The greenback, meanwhile, extended gains earlier on Thursday after data showed U.S. initial jobless claims fell more than expected last week, while layoffs plunged to a 21-year low in June.

    The dollar though slipped a bit after a report showing U.S. manufacturing activity grew at just a moderate pace in June, while employment in the sector contracted for the first time in seven months, likely because of rampant shortages of raw materials and labor.

    In midmorning trading, the euro EUR=EBS was flat to higher at $1.1863 after earlier dipping as low as $1.1837 for the first time since April 6. The euro recovered after data which showed euro zone purchasing manager's indexes (PMIs) were higher than expected.

    The Aussie dollar AUD=D3 , seen as a proxy for risk appetite, slid 0.2% to $0.7488, after earlier hitting its lowest since Dec. 21, as Australia's major centers of Sydney, Brisbane, Perth and Darwin are all under lockdown.

    The Reserve Bank of Australia will meet on Tuesday to decide on policy, and officials have already flagged it will announce its decisions on its three-year yield target as well as its broader quantitative easing programme, which is set to end in September.

    	======================================================== 
    	Currency bid prices at 10:36AM (1436 GMT) 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	   High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change					
    											  Session											  
     Dollar index	  =USD	   92.4010		92.3670	 +0.04%		 2.689%		+92.5470	+92.2630 
     Euro/Dollar	   EUR=EBS	$1.1864		$1.1855	 +0.08%		 -2.90%		+$1.1884	+$1.1837 
     Dollar/Yen		JPY=EBS	111.5400	   111.1100	+0.39%		 +7.95%		+111.6250   +111.0300 
     Euro/Yen		  EURJPY=	132.33		 131.73	  +0.46%		 +4.26%		+132.4300   +131.5700 
     Dollar/Swiss	  CHF=EBS	0.9253		 0.9249	  +0.04%		 +4.59%		+0.9271	 +0.9236 
     Sterling/Dollar   GBP=D3	 $1.3787		$1.3830	 -0.29%		 +0.94%		+$1.3834	+$1.3766 
     Dollar/Canadian   CAD=D3	 1.2385		 1.2397	  -0.10%		 -2.74%		+1.2416	 +1.2365 
     Aussie/Dollar	 AUD=D3	 $0.7486		$0.7500	 -0.18%		 -2.68%		+$0.7508	+$0.7476 
     Euro/Swiss		EURCHF=	1.0978		 1.0962	  +0.15%		 +1.56%		+1.0986	 +1.0961 
     Euro/Sterling	 EURGBP=	0.8603		 0.8570	  +0.39%		 -3.74%		+0.8615	 +0.8565 
     NZ				NZD=D3	 $0.6993		$0.6986	 +0.12%		 -2.60%		+$0.7009	+$0.6975 
     Dollar/Dollar																					 
    
     Dollar/Norway	 NOK=D3	 8.6065		 8.6195	  -0.16%		 +0.22%		+8.6375	 +8.5870 
     Euro/Norway	   EURNOK=	10.2112		10.2010	 +0.10%		 -2.44%		+10.2452	+10.1974 
     Dollar/Sweden	 SEK=	   8.5623		 8.5522	  +0.22%		 +4.46%		+8.5853	 +8.5471 
     Euro/Sweden	   EURSEK=	10.1604		10.1382	 +0.22%		 +0.83%		+10.1753	+10.1340 
    	<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 
    World FX rates	https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E 
    
    	^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>                        
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.