News: FOREX-Dollar on defensive as risk sentiment recovers amid retreat in U.S. yields; Aussie gains

  1. 185,724 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2728

    The safe-haven U.S. dollar remained broadly weaker on Wednesday as Treasury yields retreated further, restoring some calm to global markets and reigniting demand for riskier assets.

    Commodity-linked currencies including the Australian dollar and the Norwegian krone held on to sizeable two-day advances.

    The lower U.S. bond yields also sapped some of the dollar's allure among fellow low-yielding currencies, with the yen and Swiss franc bouncing off multi-month lows overnight.

    Bonds have been at the centre of a storm in financial markets in recent weeks, following a dramatic jump in yields globally – but led by Treasuries – in defiance of central bankers' insistence on patience in normalising monetary policy as economies recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. Global stocks were knocked from near record highs, and prices of commodities wobbled.

    Fiscal stimulus has fuelled market expectations for a rapid recovery, with President Joe Biden close to passing a $1.9 trillion spending package.

    An index of the dollar =USD against six of its major peers was little changed early in the Asian session Wednesday, after dropping back from a nearly one-month high overnight.

    The Aussie AUD=D4 rose slightly to $0.7820, building on gains of about 0.7% the previous two days, after data showed the Australian economy grew much faster than expected in the fourth quarter.

    The krone NOK= traded mostly flat at 8.4684 per dollar after advancing about 1% in each of the past two sessions.

    "Risk sentiment dynamics are the key driver of currencies in general right now," said Shinichiro Kadota, senior currency strategist at Barclays Capital in Tokyo.

    "Equity market reaction will be one of the key determinants of the impact of this move in global rates on FX markets."

    The lull in volatility could prove fleeting if an improving U.S. economy reignites bond selling, with closely watched monthly payroll figures due on Friday.

    U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard stuck to recent dovish rhetoric overnight, saying there is still a lot of ground to cover on jobs and inflation. But she also said she is "paying close attention" to bond market developments, where "the speed of the moves caught my eye."

    Earlier on Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia recommitted to keeping interest rates at historic lows.

    Meanwhile, European Central Bank board member Fabio Panetta said the bloc's monetary authority should expand bond purchases or even increase the quota earmarked for them if needed to keep yields down.

    The euro was little changed at $1.20880 EUR= after rising more than 0.3% in the previous session, when it rebounded from an almost one-month low below $1.20.

    The dollar added 0.2% to 106.875 yen JPY= , another safe-haven currency, consolidating after its retreat from the cusp of 107 overnight, a level unseen since August.

    The U.S. currency rose 0.1% to 0.91530 francs CHF= , after rising as high as 0.9193 for the first time since November.

    TD Securities closed out its model long USD-CHF position, taking profit after entering at 0.90 francs, ahead of its 0.9250 target.

    "We take profit just shy of our target out of an abundance of caution," TD strategists wrote in a note.

    "Given the carnage in the U.S. rates space recently, we think the market might be disproportionately sensitive at this time, causing some temporary positioning recalibration."

    In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin BTC=BTSP consolidated around $49,000, following a sharp retreat after hitting a record high of $58,354.14 on Feb. 21.

    ======================================================== 
    	Currency bid prices at 0523 GMT 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	 High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change				  
    											  Session											
     Euro/Dollar	   EUR=EBS	$1.2088		$1.2091	 -0.02%		 -1.06%	  +1.2093	 +1.2083 
     Dollar/Yen		JPY=D3	 106.8650	   106.7450	+0.11%		 +3.46%	  +106.8700   +106.7000 
     Euro/Yen		  EURJPY=	129.18		 128.99	  +0.15%		 +1.78%	  +129.2000   +128.9400 
     Dollar/Swiss	  CHF=EBS	0.9152		 0.9145	  +0.09%		 +3.45%	  +0.9155	 +0.9147 
     Sterling/Dollar   GBP=D3	 1.3953		 1.3963	  -0.06%		 +2.14%	  +1.3964	 +1.3954 
     Dollar/Canadian   CAD=D3	 1.2626		 1.2636	  -0.07%		 -0.84%	  +1.2641	 +1.2627 
     Aussie/Dollar	 AUD=D3	 0.7818		 0.7821	  +0.00%		 +1.66%	  +0.7837	 +0.7815 
     NZ				NZD=D3	 0.7285		 0.7292	  -0.07%		 +1.48%	  +0.7300	 +0.7283 
     Dollar/Dollar																				   
    

    All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

    	<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 
    World FX rates	https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E 
    
    	^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>                    
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.