- Japanese yen rises to 3-month high vs dollar
- Oil currencies not impacted yet despite oil price spike
- Markets in wait-and-see mode on next U.S., Iran move
- Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
(Adds analyst's comment, updates prices)
The dollar rallied against the safe-haven Japanese yen on Monday, but stayed weaker versus the Swiss franc, as market sentiment remained cautious amid concerns about a broader escalation of Mideast conflicts after the United States killed Iran's most prominent military commander.
The yen and Swiss franc gained earlier in the session, extending a flight to safety that began on Friday after Iranian Major-General Qassem Soleimani was killed in a U.S. drone strike on his convoy at Baghdad airport. That rally, however, has lost some steam.
"On the technical side, the yen has been strengthening even before the Iran thing so that play may be overdone below 108 yen and we're seeing the dollar coming back toward 109 yen," said John Doyle, vice president of dealing and trading at Tempus Inc in Washington.
"With something like this big, the major knee-jerk risk-off move is often short-lived and that's basically what we're seeing now. Equities basically are back flat and that correlates well with dollar/yen," he added.
U.S. President Donald Trump warned of a "major retaliation" if Iran hit back, while Iran's replacement commander vowed to expel the United States from the region.
On Sunday, Iran further distanced itself from the 2015 nuclear agreement with world powers, which the United States withdrew from in 2018, saying it would continue to cooperate with the United Nations nuclear watchdog but would respect no limits to its uranium enrichment work.
The yen surged on Monday to a three-month high around 107.75 versus the U.S. dollar, but was last down on the day as the greenback strengthened to 108.44 yen JPY= , up 0.2%.
The Swiss franc, another safe-haven currency, rose against the dollar, which fell 0.3% to 0.9690 franc CHF= .
The dollar index was down 0.2% at 96.674 .DXY . The greenback is sometimes seen as a safe-haven asset given that most central banks hold it as their main reserve currency and a big chunk of global companies trade using dollars, but the yen and the franc represent a more traditional safe-haven bet.
Implied volatility gauges in euro/dollar, the most traded currency pair, on the other hand, were relatively calm, suggesting investors are not yet fleeing to add protection to their portfolios by buying currency options.
A currency volatility index developed by Deutsche Bank was only marginally up and still close to its record lows. .DBCVIX
Currencies sensitive to global risk appetite were weaker, including the Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and Swedish crown.
The British pound was trading up 0.6% at $1.3158 GBP=D3 ahead of a crucial week when British lawmakers are due to reconvene to debate the Brexit deal Prime Minister Boris Johnson has agreed with Brussels.
======================================================== Currency bid prices at 3:37 PM (2037 GMT)Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change Session Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1190 $1.1158 +0.29% -0.18% +1.1206 +1.1157 Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.4000 108.0800 +0.30% -0.40% +108.5000 +107.7800 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 121.32 120.60 +0.60% -0.52% +121.3900 +120.2900 Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9687 0.9725 -0.39% +0.09% +0.9717 +0.9677 Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.3160 1.3086 +0.57% -0.75% +1.3174 +1.3065 Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.2967 1.2999 -0.25% -0.15% +1.2990 +1.2960 Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6933 0.6951 -0.26% -1.25% +0.6957 +0.6926 arEuro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0841 1.0846 -0.05% -0.10% +1.0859 +1.0833 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8501 0.8530 -0.34% +0.56% +0.8545 +0.8493 NZ NZD= 0.6668 0.6663 +0.08% -1.01% +0.6680 +0.6645 Dollar/DollarDollar/Norway NOK= 8.8003 8.8384 -0.43% +0.25% +8.8545 +8.7869 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.8488 9.8615 -0.13% +0.11% +9.8835 +9.8427 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.4085 9.3961 +0.39% +0.65% +9.4353 +9.3888 <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Currency volatility index close to record lows https://tmsnrt.rs/2SSaogq^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
