- Powell's speech perceived to be dovish
- Tapering timeline on table, but not interest rate lift-off
- Kiwi dips after Auckland lockdown extended
- Swedish crown flat after mixed economic data
(New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments on Canadian dollar)
The dollar slid on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated in a highly anticipated speech that the U.S. central bank could start tapering its massive support to the economy could start by year's end, which was not as fast as many in the market had assumed.
Powell said there had been clear progress toward maximum employment and he believed that if the U.S. economy improved as anticipated, "it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year."
But Powell told the Fed's annual Jackson Hole symposium the timing and pace of tapering should not be construed as a signal for when interest rates will begin to rise. The speech showed Powell has not adopted the hawkish stance of some Fed officials, said Gregory Anderson, global head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets.
"It's pretty clear that if you were worried about the timeline, that we announce in September that we're going to taper starting Oct. 1, that's not there in this speech," Anderson said.
"It's not as bad as feared based on the most extreme of the hawks," he added.
The dollar index =USD , which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.39% to 92.6760.
The euro EUR=EBS rose 0.37% to $1.1794, while the yen JPY= fell 0.24% at $109.8200.
After minutes of the Fed's policy-setting meeting in July were released last week, the dollar advanced because most market participants anticipated tapering to begin this year.
Powell was clear to detach tapering from "the rate liftoff," or raising interest rates, said David Petrosinelli, senior trader at Insperex in New York. "He was very clear to delineate that."
The dollar fell as market participants sharply lowered expectations for the Fed’s long-term tightening trajectory, said Karl Schamotta, director Of global product and market strategy at Cambridge Global Payments in Toronto.
The dollar began to retreat about 15 minutes before Powell spoke, after James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Fed, reiterated his hawkish view that tapering should begin soon and end by next year's first quarter. [nS0N2O301G}
Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR fell 3.4 basis points to trade at 1.3104%. On Thursday yields jumped to 1.375%, the highest since Aug. 12.
The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 dipped slightly after Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced that a lockdown against COVID-19 in Auckland is likely to remain in place for another two weeks.
The Swedish crown SEK=D3 was flat at 8.7070 after mixed economic data.
The Canadian dollar CAD=D3 rose 0.56% to 1.2612 versus the U.S. dollar. Brent futures LCOc1 , the international benchmark for crude, rose $1.63 to settle at $72.70 a barrel and gained 11.5% for the week.
Marc Chandler, managing director at BK Asset Management, said the Canadian currency generally takes its cues from oil, risk with the S&P 500 as a proxy and interest rate differentials.
"The Canadian dollar's strength today is a reflection not so much of Canada, but what's happening in the U.S. and the market takeaway from Powell's speech," Chandler said.
======================================================== Currency bid prices at 3:02PM (1902 GMT)Description RIC Last U.S. Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Close Change Previous Session Dollar index =USD 92.6760 93.0530 -0.39% 2.995% +93.1830 +92.6280 Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.1794 $1.1751 +0.37% -3.46% +$1.1802 +$1.1735 Dollar/Yen JPY=EBS 109.8200 110.0850 -0.24% +6.29% +110.2600 +109.7950 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 129.52 129.36 +0.12% +2.05% +129.7400 +129.1600 Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9115 0.9180 -0.71% +3.02% +0.9199 +0.9107 Sterling/Doll GBP=D3 $1.3768 $1.3703 +0.49% +0.78% +$1.3781 +$1.3679 arDollar/Canadi CAD=D3 1.2619 1.2685 -0.51% -0.90% +1.2708 +1.2607 anAussie/Dollar AUD=D3 $0.7311 $0.7238 +1.02% -4.96% +$0.7317 +$0.7222 Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0748 1.0786 -0.35% -0.55% +1.0797 +1.0747 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8564 0.8578 -0.16% -4.17% +0.8589 +0.8560 NZ NZD=D3 $0.7010 $0.6948 +0.92% -2.35% +$0.7018 +$0.6934 Dollar/DollarDollar/Norway NOK=D3 8.7165 8.8425 -1.46% +1.47% +8.8700 +8.7130 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.2828 10.3893 -1.03% -1.76% +10.4216 +10.2798 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 8.6398 8.7040 -0.39% +5.41% +8.7219 +8.6341 Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.1910 10.2314 -0.39% +1.14% +10.2517 +10.1860 <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
