(Updates prices, market activity; new byline, changes dateline, previous LONDON)
- Dollar slumps to 6-week low
- MSCI EM FX index hits 1-month high
- Bitcoin trades near $56,000 after weekend plunge
- Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
The dollar slumped to a six-week low against other major currencies on Monday as markets sorted out the plunge in U.S. Treasury yields last week after the Federal Reserve reiterated that any spike in inflation is likely to be temporary.
Improved risk sentiment as shown by the rally in global stocks to record highs weighed on the greenback. Bitcoin BTC=BTSP stabilized after losses from Sunday, when it plunged as much as 14% to $51,541, which a report attributed to news of a power outage in China.
The dollar index =USD , which tracks the greenback against major currencies, fell 0.5% to 91.159, continuing a downtrend that started on March 31.
The greenback's weakness was pronounced across the board early on Monday, with the currency hitting multi-week lows against major peers in the G10 group of currencies: the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, the Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar, and the euro.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up slightly on Monday to 1.6082% after sinking last week to 1.5280% from 1.7760% in March.
"Indeed, the USD rally is all but distant memory by now and the currency's underperformance seems to reflect the apparent divergence in the outlook between the slumping UST yields and the rather perky bond yields elsewhere," said Valentin Marinov, head of G10 FX research at Credit Agricole.
"This is almost the exact opposite of the moves we saw in March," Marinov said. The euro rose above $1.20 for the first time in more than six weeks, touching a high of $1.2048 before easing off in the morning in New York to $1.2022 EUR=EBS . The European Central Bank meets on Thursday with internal divisions over the pace of bond-buying, extended COVID-19 lockdowns and potential delays to the EU recovery fund forming the backdrop.
The market is in a period of consolidation in U.S. yields and the dollar exchange rates, according to Masafumi Yamamoto, the chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.
The dollar bought 108.2750 yen JPY=EBS on Monday, the least since March 5. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on CNBC on Friday that the U.S. economy "is ready to rip" as vaccinations continue and activity picks up, but a rise in inflation is likely to be transitory, echoing comments from other U.S. central bank officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, over the past week.
"With liquidity still abundant, we are going to hear more about the FX carry trade – which thrives in a low volatility environment," said Chris Turner, global head of markets and regional head of research for UK and CEE at ING.
MSCI's emerging market currency index hit its highest level in a month and last traded 0.15% higher on the day. .MIEM00000CUS
Bitcoin was last at $56,265, flat for the day after plunging on Sunday. Data website CoinMarketCap cited a blackout in China’s Xinjiang region, which reportedly powers a lot of bitcoin mining, for the selloff.
Despite recent weakness, the world's most popular cryptocurrency remains up nearly 100%, after more than quadrupling last year.
======================================================== Currency bid prices at 9:48AM (1348 GMT)Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change Session Dollar index =USD 91.1590 91.6180 -0.49% 1.309% +91.7480 +91.0310 Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.2022 $1.1983 +0.33% -1.60% +$1.2048 +$1.1943 Dollar/Yen JPY=EBS 108.2750 108.7900 -0.46% +4.80% +108.8250 +108.0100 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 130.17 130.34 -0.13% +2.56% +130.3200 +129.7100 Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9153 0.9201 -0.51% +3.46% +0.9215 +0.9130 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 $1.3955 $1.3850 +0.77% +2.15% +$1.3969 +$1.3811 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.2503 1.2510 -0.05% -1.81% +1.2528 +1.2472 Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 $0.7767 $0.7734 +0.43% +0.97% +$0.7784 +$0.7706 Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1005 1.1023 -0.16% +1.83% +1.1029 +1.0993 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8612 0.8661 -0.57% -3.64% +0.8672 +0.8611 NZ NZD=D3 $0.7180 $0.7148 +0.44% -0.03% +$0.7197 +$0.7117 Dollar/DollarDollar/Norway NOK=D3 8.2975 8.3665 -0.90% -3.44% +8.4110 +8.2830 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.9761 10.0290 -0.53% -4.69% +10.0532 +9.9704 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 8.3917 8.4277 -0.14% +2.38% +8.4762 +8.3784 Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.0892 10.1032 -0.14% +0.13% +10.1257 +10.0819 <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
