News: FOREX-Euro, sterling plunge on soft business activity data, UK budget woes

  1. 193,698 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2825
    	  Euro hits fresh 20-year low vs dollar 
    

    	  Sterling falls to new 37-year trough  
    

    	  Dollar index is at 20-year high 
    

    	  Dollar/yen higher on the day, but markets still cautious  
    

    (Adds new comment, updates prices)

    The euro and sterling plummeted to fresh 20-year and 37-year lows against a surging U.S. dollar on Friday after surveys showed the downturn in business activity across the euro zone and Britain accelerated this month and the economies were likely entering a recession.

    Also weighing on sterling, Britain's new finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng announced tax cuts and household and corporate support measures and the UK debt office laid out plans for 72 billion pounds ($79.74 billion) of additional issuance for this financial year to fund the stimulus.

    Sterling GBP=D3 posted its biggest weekly decline against the U.S. dollar in two years after it touched a fresh 37-year low of $1.0840. The pound was the day's biggest loser against the dollar, down 3.4% at $1.0874, and also had its largest daily percentage loss in two years.

    British bond yields also surged on Wednesday as prices sank. Benchmark UK 10-year yields soared to 3.829%, a level not seen since April 2011.

    "The market is giving very strong signals that it is no longer willing to fund the UK’s external deficit position at the current configuration of UK real yields and exchange rate," wrote George Saravelos, global head of FX research at Deutsche Bank in a research note.

    "The policy response required to what is going on is clear: a large, inter-meeting rate hike from the Bank of England as soon as next week to regain credibility with the market. And, a strong signal that it is willing to do 'whatever it takes' to bring inflation down quickly and real yield into positive territory," he added.

    Earlier in the session, UK PMI figures showed the downturn in Britain's economy worsened this month as companies battled soaring costs and faltering demand.

    Moving in line with the pound, the euro EUR=EBS dropped 1.5% to $0.9689, after earlier hitting its lowest level since October 2002 of $0.9669.

    The fall was triggered in part by data showing S&P Global's flash euro zone Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), seen as a good gauge of overall economic health, fell further in September.

    The downturn in German business activity deepened, as higher energy costs hit Europe's largest economy and companies saw a drop in new business.

    Europe's shared currency had its worst weekly performance since March 2020. CENTRAL BANK POLICIES The yen JPY=EBS was 0.6% lower at 143.30 per U.S. dollar, but had its first weekly gain of 0.3% in more than a month after Japanese authorities intervened in markets on Thursday to support the currency for the first time since 1998.

    The yen rallied more than 1% on Thursday on news Japan had bought yen to defend the battered currency. Trading was thin on Friday with Japanese markets closed for a public holiday.

    The dollar index =USD , which measures the U.S. currency against a basket of currency including euro, sterling and yen, surged to 113.23, its highest since May 2002 and topping two-decade highs hit earlier this week. It was last up 1.6% at 112.96, posting its best largest weekly percentage rise since March 2020.

    "The buck is indeed a safe haven unlike any other time in recent decades because the war and its effects are not affecting the U.S. domestic goals," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA in Washington.

    The Bank of England lifted interest rates by 50 basis points on Thursday in an attempt to tackle inflation but, like previous rate hikes in recent months, the move failed to support the pound as it was overshadowed by concerns about the economy.

    The dollar received a boost this week from a very hawkish Federal Reserve policy announcement and rising Treasury yields. US10YT=RR

    	======================================================== 
    	Currency bid prices at 4:01PM (2001 GMT) 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	   High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change					
    											  Session											  
     Dollar index	  =USD	   112.9400	   111.2200	+1.56%		 18.060%	   +113.2300   +111.0700 
     Euro/Dollar	   EUR=EBS	$0.9695		$0.9834	 -1.41%		 -14.72%	   +$0.9851	+$0.9669 
     Dollar/Yen		JPY=EBS	143.3100	   142.4000	+0.65%		 +24.50%	   +143.4500   +141.7700 
     Euro/Yen		  EURJPY=	138.93		 140.00	  -0.76%		 +6.61%		+140.2500   +138.6800 
     Dollar/Swiss	  CHF=EBS	0.9820		 0.9769	  +0.52%		 +7.66%		+0.9839	 +0.9757 
     Sterling/Dollar   GBP=D3	 $1.0869		$1.1259	 -3.46%		 -19.62%	   +$1.1273	+$1.0840 
     Dollar/Canadian   CAD=D3	 1.3590		 1.3488	  +0.77%		 +7.50%		+1.3612	 +1.3470 
     Aussie/Dollar	 AUD=D3	 $0.6534		$0.6642	 -1.63%		 -10.12%	   +$0.6656	+$0.6512 
     Euro/Swiss		EURCHF=	0.9520		 0.9608	  -0.92%		 -8.19%		+0.9622	 +0.9499 
     Euro/Sterling	 EURGBP=	0.8916		 0.8734	  +2.08%		 +6.14%		+0.8934	 +0.8712 
     NZ				NZD=D3	 $0.5751		$0.5846	 -1.63%		 -15.98%	   +$0.5856	+$0.5732 
     Dollar/Dollar																					 
    
     Dollar/Norway	 NOK=D3	 10.5920		10.3915	 +2.21%		 +20.56%	   +10.6520	+10.4155 
     Euro/Norway	   EURNOK=	10.2669		10.2331	 +0.33%		 +2.59%		+10.3117	+10.2080 
     Dollar/Sweden	 SEK=	   11.2817		11.0650	 +0.59%		 +25.10%	   +11.3275	+11.0552 
     Euro/Sweden	   EURSEK=	10.9402		10.8763	 +0.59%		 +6.88%		+10.9598	+10.8896 
    	<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 
    World FX rates	https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E 
    
    	^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>                        
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.