The euro one-month volatility level jumped on Tuesday to its highest in 15 months, as the single currency was hit by rising risk aversion amid a gas price surge and escalation of tensions in Ukraine.
Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered troops to two breakaway regions in Ukraine, sending the euro one-month volatility EUR1MO=FN to its highest level since November 2020, as the West vowed sanctions in response to Putin's troops in Ukraine.
The euro edged 0.2% higher versus the dollar EUR=EBS to $1.1331 by 0910 GMT, after touching an eight-day low.
"The surge in European gas prices and the rise in concerns over Russian supplies to the region poses a risk to growth in Europe and therefore has the potential to significantly impact the timing of ECB (European Central Bank) policy tightening going forward, which is a EUR negative factor," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy, at Rabobank in London.
As Putin's move accelerated a crisis the West fears could unleash a major war, the Russian rouble RUB= climbed back above 80 to the dollar to its highest level since November 2020. Ukraine's hryvnia currency UAH= fell 1% to a seven-year low.
In the meantime, safe-haven currencies were in demand. The yen JPY=EBS hit a near three-week high and the Swiss franc versus the dollar CHF=EBS remained near a one-month high reached on Monday.
The yen edged about 0.1% higher 114.8 after briefly touching 114.50 to the dollar, while the Swiss franc EURCHF= slipped 0.4% versus the euro at 1.039, after hitting one-month high of 1.0339 versus the single currency.
The euro drifting back below 1.04 versus the Swiss franc confirmed market concerns that any escalation of the Ukraine crisis would weigh on the euro zone, analysts said.
"Although there is already a lot of bad news baked into the price, tensions in Ukraine have the capacity to push EUR/CHF back to the recent 1.03 low," said Rabobank's Foley.
Another safe haven, the U.S. dollar =USD , edged 0.1% lower at 96.013 against a basket of currencies including the euro, as investors await further developments in the crisis.
The U.S. and its European allies are poised to announce sanctions against Russia on Tuesday.
Cryptocurrencies were also under pressure, with bitcoin BTC=BTSP dropping to an almost three-week low of $36,370.
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
