News: FOREX-Euro weighed down by waning hopes for peace, kiwi helped by RBNZ hike

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    • RBNZ hikes 50bps; kiwi blips higher
    • Putin calls peace talks a "dead end," euro falls
    • CAD firm as Bank of Canada poised to hike

    The euro was pinned to a five-week low on Wednesday as prospects for peace in Ukraine seemed to darken, while the kiwi was boosted when New Zealand's central bank delivered its steepest rate hike in two decades.

    The Bank of Canada meets later on Wednesday and is also expected to deliver a 50-bp hike as policymakers around the world start hastening efforts to contain inflation. BOCWATCH

    The kiwi NZD=D3 flickered as high as $0.6902 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lifted its official cash rate (OCR) by 50 basis points to 1.5%.

    But the currency couldn't break resistance around its 200-day moving average, and settled below it at $0.6867, as the central bank framed its actions as pulling forward hikes without changing its outlook.

    "This 'stitch in time' approach is consistent with near-term financial market pricing," policymakers said in the meeting minutes, which were released with their decision.

    Analysts reckoned support for the currency might be shortlived.

    "It's sort of a dovish 50-point hike," said Jason Wong, senior markets strategist at BNZ in Wellingon.

    "They're saying it's just a bringing forward of a hike and the RBNZ hasn't really changed it's view on the OCR outlook from the February statement," he added, noting that the market has a far more hawkish peak rate forecast than the central bank does.

    Elsewhere, traders were unmoved by a slight stiffening in Japanese officials' language about the fast-weakening yen, which was under considerable pressure at 125.62 per dollar, within a whisker of breaking a major support level at 125.86.

    Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said the government was watching currency moves with a sense of urgency.

    The yen had enjoyed a moment's respite overnight when cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data set bonds rallying and investors hoping that price pressures might have peaked.

    A second straight monthly decline in prices of used cars held core CPI to a 0.3% gain in March, against an expected 0.5% rise. But, since headline annual inflation nevertheless came in at an eyewatering 8.5% and rapid rate hikes still loom, it wasn't enough to drive investors out of dollars.

    Russian President Vladimir Putin's description of on-and-off peace negotiations as "a dead-end situation" on Tuesday also put a weight on the euro and sterling, which have been vulnerable to concern about the war's economic fallout.

    The euro EUR=EBS dropped to $1.0821 overnight and hovered nearby at $1.0835 in the Asian session. Sterling GBP=D3 , which has been pegged near $1.30, held at $1.3011.

    The Australian dollar AUD=D3 , at $0.7469, held overnight gains made with a bounce in oil prices.

    The Canadian dollar CAD=D3 firmed through its 200-day moving average to C$1.2614 in Asia, though traders are jittery ahead of the Bank of Canada meeting, especially as the market is slightly short USD/CAD. CADNETUSD=

    "I think the risk around the Bank of Canada meeting is that they sound balanced enough to trigger a wipeout of USD/CAD shorts," said Brent Donnelly, president at analytics firm Spectra Markets.

    Policy decisions are due in Singapore and Europe later in the week.

    	======================================================== 
    	Currency bid prices at 0245 GMT 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	 High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change				  
    											  Session											
     Euro/Dollar	   EUR=EBS	$1.0835		$1.0826	 +0.09%		 +0.00%	  +1.0838	 +1.0812 
     Dollar/Yen		JPY=EBS	125.5850	   125.3550	+0.20%		 +0.00%	  +125.6400   +125.3550 
     Euro/Yen		 																			 
     Dollar/Swiss	  CHF=EBS	0.9324		 0.9324	  +0.03%		 +0.00%	  +0.9338	 +0.9325 
     Sterling/Dollar   GBP=D3	 1.3011		 1.3000	  +0.09%		 +0.00%	  +1.3013	 +1.2987 
     Dollar/Canadian   CAD=D3	 1.2614		 1.2641	  -0.21%		 +0.00%	  +1.2642	 +1.2614 
     Aussie/Dollar	 AUD=D3	 0.7472		 0.7455	  +0.25%		 +0.00%	  +0.7475	 +0.7444 
     NZ				NZD=D3	 0.6868		 0.6850	  +0.27%		 +0.00%	  +0.6901	 +0.6843 
     Dollar/Dollar																				   
    

    All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

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    World FX rates	https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E 
    
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