- Softer-than-forecast U.S. jobless claims weigh on dollar
- Dollar more sensitive to interest rates
- Bitcoin hits another all-time peak
- Currency markets quiet, holidays in China and Japan
- Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
(Adds new comments, updates prices)
The dollar fell against some of the major currencies on Thursday, weighed down by slightly weaker-than-expected U.S. jobless claims data that followed tepid inflation numbers and a dovish message from the Federal Reserve the previous session.
Currency moves, however, were confined to narrow ranges due to holidays in Japan and China. In the cryptocurrency sector, bitcoin hit another record of $48,481.45 BTC=BTSP , as it continues its march toward the $50,000 mark. It was last up 6.3% at $47,685, rising after news that BNY Mellon became the latest firm to embrace cryptocurrencies.
Thursday's data showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totalled a seasonally adjusted 793,000 for the week ended Feb. 6, compared to 812,000 a week before. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 757,000 applications for the period.
"The job market's glacial pace of improvement justifies the Federal Reserve's dovish bias which could leave the dollar vulnerable to increased weakness over the short run," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst, at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.
The jobless claims report followed data on Wednesday which showed U.S. core inflation last month was zero, against market expectations of 0.2%.
In afternoon trading, the euro was up around 0.1% against the dollar at $1.2134 EUR=EBS . A European Commission forecast that the euro zone economy will rebound less than earlier expected in 2021 did not impact the currency.
"Going forward, the dollar is going to do better, against the euro, for one," said Ron Simpson, managing director, global currency analysis at Action Economics in Tampa, Florida.
"The potential for economic recovery in Europe is looking pretty dismal right now," he added. The dollar index was down slightly at 90.393 =USD . So far the dollar was on track for its largest weekly loss since around mid-December. But prior to this week, the dollar had gained more than 2% since January as investors covered extreme short positions on the currency.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated on Wednesday that the central bank's new policy framework could accommodate annual inflation above 2% for some time before raising rates, reinforcing market expectations of a weak dollar trend.
Several analysts noted that the dollar has recently become more sensitive to interest rate expectations. Over the past year, risk appetite dictated the dollar's direction: rising as a safe haven when there's political and financial stress, and falling in times of global expansions.
That may be changing, HSBC analysts said. "There is good reason for this thinking, as the outlook for the Fed is more in focus than a few months ago. Moreover, this could be an early warning sign that the U.S. dollar downtrend could also be starting to end," HSBC said.
Commodity currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars also rose against the greenback. The Australian dollar - viewed as a liquid proxy for risk appetite - was up 0.3% at US$0.7749. It hit a three-week high earlier in the session of US$0.7772 AUD=D3 .
======================================================== Currency bid prices at 3:22PM (2022 GMT)Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change Session Dollar index =USD 90.3870 90.4290 -0.04% 0.451% +90.4730 +90.2610 Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.2134 $1.2119 +0.12% -0.69% +$1.2150 +$1.2114 Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 104.7250 104.6700 +0.10% +1.44% +104.8000 +104.5900 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 127.08 126.74 +0.27% +0.13% +127.1600 +126.7100 Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.8898 0.8906 -0.08% +0.59% +0.8910 +0.8893 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 $1.3811 $1.3836 -0.21% +1.06% +$1.3859 +$1.3800 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.2697 1.2698 +0.00% -0.28% +1.2710 +1.2661 Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 $0.7753 $0.7723 +0.39% +0.79% +$0.7771 +$0.7713 Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0796 1.0787 +0.08% -0.10% +1.0807 +1.0787 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8782 0.8756 +0.30% -1.73% +0.8788 +0.8753 NZ NZD=D3 $0.7225 $0.7215 +0.14% +0.61% +$0.7251 +$0.7205 Dollar/DollarDollar/Norway NOK=D3 8.4735 8.4660 +0.27% -1.15% +8.4870 +8.4420 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.2830 10.2597 +0.23% -1.75% +10.2973 +10.2380 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 8.3186 8.3204 +0.20% +1.49% +8.3330 +8.2979 Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.0936 10.0730 +0.20% +0.17% +10.1085 +10.0765 <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
