(Adds CFTC currency positioning, updates prices)
Rise in U.S. core PCE index, year-on-year, slows
Orders for U.S. durables advance modestly
U.S. consumers' 1-year inflation outlook drops to 18-month low
Dollar/yen on track for weekly loss after BoJ policy tweak
Commodity currencies rise vs greenback
The dollar slid against most currencies in choppy, thin trading on Friday as data signaled that the U.S. economy is cooling a bit, reinforcing expectations of smaller interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve and improving investors' risk appetite.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.1% last month after climbing 0.4% in October. In the 12 months through November, the PCE index increased 5.5% after advancing 6.1% in October.
Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE index gained 0.2% after increasing 0.3% in October. The so-called core PCE price index rose 4.7% on a year-on-year basis in November after increasing 5.0% in October. The Fed tracks the PCE price indexes for its monetary policy.
Wall Street indexes ended higher on the day, while commodity currencies such as the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars, which are highly sensitive to risk sentiment, also gained against the greenback. Investors also sold safe-haven Treasuries, pushing yields higher.
"Stocks are feeling a little more comfortable today. There seems to be no panic," said Amo Sahota, executive director at FX consulting firm Klarity FX in San Francisco.
"The inflation data is moving in the right direction, although not fast enough and the growth in the U.S. economy has not been hindered significantly. It's growing still at a gradual pace and there's no choking of the economy just yet," he added.
The Fed is widely expected to raise interest rates by just 25 basis points at its next policy meeting, in January, after multiple big increases.
In afternoon trading, the euro EUR=EBS rose 0.2% against the dollar to $1.0619. The single European currency is on pace to end the week up 0.4%, its second straight week of gains.
Euro net longs also rose to 142,272 contracts, the largest since January 2021, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.
The Australian, New Zealand and Canadian currencies advanced against the U.S. dollar. The Aussie unit was up 0.4% at US$0.6710 AUD=D3 , the kiwi, or New Zealand dollar, gained 0.7% to US$0.6288 NZD=D3 . Against the Canadian dollar, the greenback fell 0.4% to C$1.3590 CAD=D3 .
The Canadian dollar also benefited from data showing that the Canadian economy grew by 0.1% in October versus September, with another 0.1% increase in GDP seen likely in November, Statistics Canada data showed.
Against the yen, however, the dollar rose 0.4% to 132.82 yen JPY=EBS . The dollar though, was on track for a weekly drop of 2.8% after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) tweaked a key bond market policy earlier this week.
CFTC data showed
net yen shorts
declined to 40,881 contracts, the smallest since August.
A second report on Friday showed new orders for U.S.-made capital goods rose moderately in November while shipments fell, pointing to a slowdown in business spending on equipment this quarter as higher borrowing costs cool demand for goods.
Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, rose 0.2% last month, data showed. These so-called core capital goods orders increased 0.3% in October. However, shipments of core capital goods dipped 0.1% after increasing 1.4% in October.
Another piece of data showed U.S. consumers expect price pressures to moderate notably in the next year, with a benchmark survey on Friday showing the one-year inflation outlook dropping in December to the lowest in 18 months. This is a key number that Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned in one of his press briefings.
In what has been a brutal year for global markets, the dollar has surged almost 9% as the Fed has aggressively hiked rates to tame inflation.
The dollar index, however, has dropped more than 8% since hitting a 20-year high in September, with a sharp slowdown in U.S. inflation raising hopes that the Fed may soon end its tightening cycle.
The index was last little changed at 104.35 =USD .
======================================================== Currency bid prices at 4:02PM (2102 GMT)Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change Session Dollar index =USD 104.2700 104.3700 -0.08% 8.997% +104.5300 +104.1100 Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.0619 $1.0600 +0.20% -6.58% +$1.0633 +$1.0587 Dollar/Yen JPY=EBS 132.8450 132.3800 +0.36% +15.41% +133.1350 +132.1700 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 141.06 140.22 +0.60% +8.23% +141.2100 +140.0800 Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9328 0.9312 +0.19% +2.28% +0.9344 +0.9288 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 $1.2050 $1.2037 +0.09% -10.91% +$1.2089 +$1.2020 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.3590 1.3647 -0.40% +7.50% +1.3658 +1.3563 Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 $0.6722 $0.6669 +0.76% -7.55% +$0.6725 +$0.6662 Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 0.9907 0.9867 +0.41% -4.46% +0.9924 +0.9866 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8812 0.8797 +0.17% +4.90% +0.8825 +0.8784 NZ NZD=D3 $0.6290 $0.6248 +0.65% -8.12% +$0.6304 +$0.6235 Dollar/DollarDollar/Norway NOK=D3 9.8730 9.8775 -0.05% +12.07% +9.9150 +9.8335 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.4838 10.4550 +0.28% +4.70% +10.5130 +10.4325 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 10.5163 10.4683 +0.69% +16.62% +10.5386 +10.4276 Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 11.1704 11.0944 +0.69% +9.15% +11.1881 +11.0850 <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
