(Updated prices at 10:39 a.m EDT/ 1439 GMT)
A global equities gauge was up more than 1% on Thursday after lower-than-expected U.S. unemployment claims calmed recession fears and Treasury yields rose alongside the dollar.
Oil prices were eyeing a third straight day of gains, with growing supply risks in the Middle East offsetting demand concerns that had pushed prices to their lowest levels since early 2024 at the start of the week.
On the data side, the U.S. Labor Department said initial claims for
state unemployment benefits
fell 17,000 to a seasonally adjusted 233,000 for the week ended Aug. 3, the largest drop in about 11 months. Economists had expected 240,000 claims.
"It reinforces the fact that labor market momentum is not slowing to the same extent that was represented by the payroll report, and it also reinforces the absence of very significant layoffs in the economy as well," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities in New York. "For markets it's fairly encouraging."
The data on Thursday was being closely monitored after a weaker-than-expected July jobs report last Friday helped spark Monday's market rout in financial markets around the world.
Investors were forced to unwind carry trades, where they borrow cheaply in Japan to buy dollars and other currencies to invest in higher yielding assets. The unwind helped trigger a 12% plunge in Japanese stocks on Monday and the S&P 500 .SPX index followed with a 3% drop.
On Thursday, Wall Street started out in a bullish mood. At 10:39 a.m. the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI was up 519.74 points, or 1.34%, to 39,283.19, the S&P 500 gained 95.31 points, or 1.83%, to 5,294.81 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC climbed 350.88 points, or 2.17%, to 16,546.69.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS rose 8.40 points, or 1.09%, to 779.10. Europe's STOXX 600 .STOXX index edged up 0.05%.
Analysts said they expected continued market swings in coming days and weeks. "When you have a volatility shock like this, and you have a degree of unwind in certain positions, you're very prone to sudden reversals and also a degree of uneasiness as the adjustment continues," said Erik Nelson, macro strategist at Wells Fargo.
"I would be surprised if we just went back to everything being fine."
STRONGER DOLLAR
In the currency market, the dollar index =USD , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, gained 0.24% to 103.36.
Against the Japanese yen JPY= , the dollar strengthened 0.49% to 147.41. The euro EUR= was down 0.19% at $1.09.
Yields on U.S. Treasuries rose after the unemployment claims data brought some confidence that the U.S. economy is less likely to face an imminent recession.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR climbed 3.8 basis points to 4.005%, from 3.967% late on Wednesday. The 30-year bond US30YT=RR yield rose 3.1 basis points to 4.2919%.
The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 6.8 basis points to 4.069%, from 4.001% late on Wednesday.
In energy markets, U.S. crude CLc1 gained 0.84% to $75.86 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 rose to $78.71 per barrel, up 0.49% on the day.
In precious metals, spot gold XAU= added 1.59% to $2,419.29 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCc1 gained 0.81% to $2,409.80 an ounce.
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Recession indicator turns positive for first time since 2022Recession indicator turns positive for first time since 2022 https://reut.rs/3A8fn4m Investors bet on deeper Fed rate cuts after weak jobs data Investors bet on deeper Fed rate cuts after weak jobs data https://reut.rs/4df7NDF
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