NAB 0.03% $33.79 national australia bank limited

The real question is to what extent a div cut/profit fall is...

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    The real question is to what extent a div cut/profit fall is already factored into the current share price. A 10% cut in the div would save NAB about $530m pa, enough to cover the provision. At current prices it would also equate to 7% ff div. So arguably that is already built in and there shouldn't be much impact on the share price. Anything greater than that might "surprise" the market and result in a further sell down. Given the wording of the announcement re the div, NAB may take a leaf out of ANZs book and formally set a (lower) target payout ratio.
 
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