"No mention of dividend but the result should support a...

  1. 17,814 Posts.
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    "No mention of dividend but the result should support a continuation at present levels imo"

    @crookers,

    As the balance sheet has repaired itself over the past few years, so the board has been happy to ratchet up the dividend payout ratio:

    SDI - Net Debt ($m)
    JH11: 10.9
    DH11: 11.0
    JH12: 8.0
    DH12: 9.8
    JH13: 6.4
    DH13: 6.7
    JH14: 4.7
    DH14: 5.6
    JH15: 2.1
    DH15: 3.8
    JH16: -0.3
    DH16: 1.7
    JH17: 0.5 [Forecast, based on latest guidance]

    SDI - Dividend Payout Ratio (%)
    JH11: 32
    DH11: 0
    JH12: 21
    DH12: 0
    JH13: 30
    DH13: 9
    JH14: 16
    DH14: 17
    JH15: 34
    DH15: 32
    JH16: 31
    DH16: 59
    JH17: 40 [Forecast]


    As can be seen, I expect the company to be close to a debt-free state currently (despite the significant investment in working capital over the past few years (by ~$10m over the period being reviewed) as the supply chain has fattened).

    So I expect the POR for the final dividend to continue to creep up, to 40%.

    Based on the latest guidance, a fully-year NPAT result of $5.6m means that the JH NPAT result was $3.6m (there is always a second-half seasonal bias to SDI's earnings).

    That translates to JH2017 EPS of 3cps which, at a 40% POR, points to a 1.2cps final dividend (up from 1.0cps for the pcp).
 
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