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06/03/20
18:18
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Originally posted by mrposhman
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You can't ignore debt. You can deal with it in a number of ways. For example, lets use Enterprise Value at a calculation of 3 times earnings (seems reasonably though in all likelihood its probably lower).
TER = 3 x $94m = $286m
UNV = 3 x $51m = $151m
Now that looks good from TER's perspective, but enterprise value is Market Cap PLUS debt so to get the shareholders ownership % of that amount, you need to deduct net debt (now UNV have net cash but I won't increase theirs up for now). I think TER's net debt is somewhere around $200m from memory so actually the valuation aspects are:
TER = $286m less $200m = $86m
UNV - $151m
So in essence and being fair across EVERYTHING that both sides of the table bring to the equation (and that includes debt), even at a 50/50 split, this is still undervaluing UNV and overvaluing what TER bring to the table.
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And if you were to use a EE valuation (Enterprise value to Earnings) instead of PE valuation (Capitalised value to earnings ) it really stinks .
Add in TER is getting a higher strip rate each year then it looks to becoming a putrid corpse