The Newspoll that came out overnight, gives a slim lead to the...

The Newspoll that came out overnight, gives a slim
lead to the coalition for the first time this campaign
51/49.

It seems the advertising blitz by the coalition is working
in its favour. The ads are on day and night and nary a Labor
one to be seen.

If those figures hold at the election it will be a very comfortable
win for moderate Liberal Malcolm Turnbull and the LNP.

The Greens vote has come off its highs of last Sept down to
9% which is what I thought would happen after the Green’s
were seen to be cozying up to new PM Turnbull in Sept and
voting together to change the Senate voting etc. They have
not learned from the demise of the Australian Democrats
after they also became cozy with the coalition to pass the GST
legislation.

Minor parties lose the a portion of the protest vote when they
are seen romping in the bedroom with the major parties,
particularly the one their supporters would have expected they
would be opposing.

So now we have the rise of the Xenophon factor because Nick
Xenophon is not seen as being too close to either major party.
More a genuine keep them honest type like the Australian
Democrats were supposed to be until the latter jumped into
the coalition bed and then fell apart.

Malcolm Turnbull has come down from his highs but looks
like he will deliver the re-election of the Coalition something
his predecessor would not have been able to do.

The switch in leader has worked unless the polls are wrong.