Silver Train wrote: "Ok, so tell me... How would the price of something go up when its demand drops off?"
You assume, again, that demand will drop off. That's a big assumption going forward. There are other scenarios than that - ergo, that demand might not drop off but increase. Demand always has to be seen in relation to supply too.... even in a global economic downturn, buyers might maintain or increase purchases due to critically low stockpiles, or rely more heavily on newly emerging quality source minerals.
So many variables that you haven't touched..... I prefer to keep all viable possibilities open in consideration of AVQ and Ni generally.