HIG 0.00% 10.5¢ highlands pacific limited

Nickel starting to rise again today, page-4

  1. 3,855 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 559
    So here goes a quick calculation of incremental income for HIG.
    RAMU produces 34,000 tonnes of Nickel pa.
    HIG is entitled to 11.3% of this, being 3842 tonnes pa
    HIG will stream 23.9% of this to Cobalt27 (post completion of transaction and $15M buy-back of part of stream), retaining 76.1% or 2924 tonnes pa, which is 6.55M lbs pa.
    [now the concentrate that RAMU sells won't get the full Nickel price, but I don't know whether this factor is 90% or 95% or 85% or 98% , so I will omit at present; though can add in if anyone can provide the appropriate factor.]
    So an extra USD$1 in Nickel price is worth extra USD$6.55M pa to HIG.
    This is about AUD$8.5M pa to top line, most of which goes entirely to bottom line as HIG has carried forward losses.
    I will suggest a NPV-factor of 14 to bring this ongoing income stream to Net Present Value.

    Outcome: An extra USD$1 per lb to NI price adds about AUD$120M to NPV of Highlands!! (cf current market cap of $140M)

    Now I would advise reducing this a bit for a range of uncertainties, but you can see why I am more positive about HIG now (and consider it more undervalued) than when it was a ridiculous 6c a year ago.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add HIG (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.