I have a couple of comment/questions based on yourchart.
1. Based on your chart analysis: If NMT holds 62% Fib retrace well and good but a deeper retrace 78% Fib could be expected with the broader market likely to fall further. Of late NMT chart has many gaps but I see most are getting filled. I see a gap (1.05-1.07 AUD) just below the 78% Fib which is not necessarily a break away gap and most likely will also be filled. Better now with this retrace than at a later stock cycle I feel. That should put a solid bottom at 1 AUD. Having said that NMT has respected 62% fib before. I made an entry before and looks like it held https://hotcopper.com.au/posts/61949936/single. So just thinking out aloud.
2. Alternative EW scenario: Is this a possibility?
Here, Wave 1 is 2013 till 2016. Wave 2 lasts 4 yearsfrom 2016 till around June 2020. I cannot include this in the chart since the recentyears´ movements become undiscernible. After this is the all-powerful Wave 3 andthe corrective Wave 4 triangle (white). Finally, the end of 5th Wave(note it has 5 clear sub-waves within) is the all-time high marking the end ofthe impulse. We have a clean 5 wave downtrend which is the first leg A of ABC.The current counter trend wave is B since it apparently failed the 62% fib onthe larger grid. There is more downside to come in this analysis. The reason I ask isthat many lithium related stocks suffered brutal 5 wave pullbacks, almostvertical drops. Is this considered a full correction? They are also presentlyfailing 62% Fib resistance for the larger fib grid. Makes me wonder what ishappening here. I am just a small guy trying to understand these levels, pardonme if this is all crap. Thanks.
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Mkt cap ! $65.39M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
10.5¢ | 11.0¢ | 10.0¢ | $50.95K | 480.1K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 266340 | 10.5¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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11.0¢ | 270030 | 8 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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6 | 266340 | 0.105 |
19 | 870498 | 0.100 |
5 | 63149 | 0.099 |
6 | 101132 | 0.098 |
4 | 259221 | 0.096 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.110 | 270030 | 8 |
0.115 | 21111 | 2 |
0.120 | 393721 | 10 |
0.125 | 18634 | 5 |
0.130 | 57875 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 03/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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