OBM 6.52% 64.5¢ ora banda mining ltd

Dear zogI am also a Buffett fan and appreciate he doesn’t like...

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    Dear zog
    I am also a Buffett fan and appreciate he doesn’t like the commodity stocks

    that said, I wonder how he would go about valuing a gold company

    - which is debt free
    - owns a $180 million plant (replacement value)
    - now has a quality, experienced leadership team
    - cash at bank (~$30 million)
    - years of future tax losses
    - guidance (FY24 - which is this current year) to earn ~ $50 million (70,000 ounces x $2300 AISC)
    - guidance (FY25 - which is next financial year) to earn $125 million (100,000 ounces x $1750 AISC)
    - FY26 further growth delivered through additional underground (ounces potentially up 50% if second underground developed)

    Warren would look at risk of execution (tick)

    Warren would discount and model future cashflows

    I suspect Warren would then want to discuss with management the future potential of hedging some future revenues, dividends, share buy backs etc


    Last edited by Ladytradr: 21/09/23
 
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