At 0,5 mio/year operation I see no potential, first they need...

  1. 1,104 Posts.
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    At 0,5 mio/year operation I see no potential,  first they need min. a 2,0 mio/year operation and the higher resource base.

    Yes ABX is 1,5 year ahead but MMI looks much better cause of the better cost structure.



    Column 1 Column 2
    0 Australien Bauxite  
    1  
    2 Bx = US$/t CIF China 65
    3 Discount for low content -5%
    4 Bx = US$/t CIF China effectiv 61,8
    5 AUD /USD (long term plan) 0,81
    6 CIF China in AUD/t 76,2
    7 Shipping to china in AUD/t -25,3
    8 FOB price in aud/t 50,9
    9 Royalties in aud/t -0,5
    10 effictive price sales price aud/t 50,4
    11 operational costs aud/t -32,0
    12 operational magin in aud/t 18,4
    13 --------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------
    14 Sales in MioT/Year 0,5
    15 --------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------
    16 Gross Profit in mio aud/year 9,2
    17 interest in mio aud (at 0%) 0,0
    18 depreciation in mio aud (at 10 year amortization period) -0,6
    19 EBT in mio aud 8,6
    20 TAX (34,8%) -3,0
    21 Profit /year in mio aud 5,6
    22 multiplier (cause of little resource) 3,0
    23 Total value company 17
    24    
    25 JV 50%
    26 Total value ABX 8,4
    27    
    28    
    29    
    30 Capex in Mio AUD 6
    31 borrowing capital in Mio AUD (100%) 6,0
    32 new own capital in Mio AUD (0%) 0,0
    33    
    34 Issue price new shares beginning 2016 in audcent   30,0
    35    
    36 Shares old 140
    37 Shares new   -
    38 Shares total 140
    39    
    40 Value in mio aud 8
    41 Shares total in mio 140
    42 Price Target in aud 0,06
    43  
    44 actual price in aud 0,32
    45 potential -81%
 
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