OXR oxiana limited

more on the special divi/buyback scenario... this is GSJBW's...

  1. nsh
    812 Posts.
    more on the special divi/buyback scenario... this is GSJBW's take:

    Investment View:
    • We note earnings multiples are a misleading indicator for OZ Minerals.
    The stock should be evaluated using cash flow multiples following the
    non-cash (P&L only) effect of the revaluation and thus higher
    depreciation of the ZFX asset base following the merger.
    • Although OZ Minerals remains armed with a significant war chest of
    ~A$1.2bn, we believe the company is cognisant of the share price
    impact in overpaying for an investment.
    • In our view, the company is more likely to return cash back to
    shareholders via a special dividend or a share buyback at current levels.
    • The next key catalyst for OZ Minerals is the successful delivery on
    Prominent Hill on time (4Q FY08) and the revised budget (A$1.08bn),
    together with ramping up Avebury successfully.
    • No change to our BUY recommendation.
 
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