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NOVONIX The Replacement Tesla Research Team, page-43

  1. 832 Posts.
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    Yes, that is a well known story told by Tony Seba in every presentation he does on EV disruption.
    I think that McKinsey prediction on battery material demand is also an under estimate, more than likely in 5 years not ten.
    I think we are on the steep slope upwards on th S curve, i.e. the Tipping Point'
    Once the battery cost falls below $100 and an EV is on price parity, nobody is going to want an ICE car, as they are better in every way.
    I have done an estimate of fuel cost comparison here in the UK:

    EDF new overnight Tarriff 12:00-08:00am 8 hours @ 8p @Per Kwh. Avg #EV 4mls per Kwh = 2p per mile.
    Petrol £5.90 gallon,
    EV equiv 295 mpg!

    Octopus new night Tarriff 12:30am-04:30am 4 hours @ 5p per Kwh. Avg #EV 4mls per Kwh = 1.25 p per mile.
    Petrol £5.90 gallon,
    EV equiv 470 mpg!

    Home charger gives 7Kwh
    so 1 hour will give you about 28 miles
    4 hours 112 miles
    8 hours 224 miles



    Last edited by OppositeDays: 13/06/20
 
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