Hi Alpha,
Just took a breather to see what was happening out there, given that the DOW Futures were down earlier >100 points, according to OzEquities.
This week's editorial from Your Money Weekly also makes for interesting reading. It supports the view that:
1)
last week's selling in the FTSE was liquidity driven;
2)
that the FTSE is nearing the bottom;
3)
that a substantial rally is nearby (the front page headline reads "The Mother of all Rallies"); and
4)
that "the French leadership was secretly concerned that the US would be welcomed as saviours when they entered Baghdad, which would be quite a blow to Iraq Chirac".
Again, according to YMW, in the 12 months since 7 March 2002, global markets have fallen to the following extent:
DOW -27%;
DAX -64.5%;
FT100 -39.8%;
CAC -60.7%;
Tokyo -32.5%; and
Australia -22.1%.
Between Monday and Wednesday of last week, all markets were down, including, to the following extent:
FT100 -5.9%;
DAX -9.4%;
CAC -6.7%;
Tokyo -2.5%; and
Australia -1.0%.
Where it will all sit tonight could be interesting, but one offshore stock I am particularly interested in is now up 30% off last week's lows, after being down 27% mid-week, and tonight has opened 6% down in Europe.
Volatility in the markets is now approaching a near mania level with stocks such as NAB (another stock that I have a keen interest in) gyrating in a dual bandwidth of +/-50c on reasonable trading days, ranging up to +/-85c on heightened (ie" "extreme") trading days.
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