@eagle888; Berejiklian was conspicuous by her absence at today's NSW press conference while Hazzard was almost hyper-ventilating at times.
Behind the scenes they know what mathematical models are predicting. I've run two up until July 31st, they're provided two below:
Based on a seven day moving average: 175 // 191 // 212 // 146 // 276 // 310 // 348 // 388 [July 31st] Based on a 14 day moving average: 183 // 199 // 211// 229 // 249 // 279 // 306 // 335 [July 31st]
In other words, unless NSW makes changes to tighten restrictions in Greater Sydney, based on the current daily increase ratio of 1.09 the number of new cases each day will rise from 163 today to between 335 and 388 within a week and with a doubling time of 8 to 9 days.
Sydney is just two weeks from exceeding what Melbourne experienced in 2020 - NSW needs whatever help everyone else can provide because beyond that it'll be like India, Indonesia and the USA.
