NUCLEAR FANTASY

  1. 64 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 18
    Apologies for the provocative title - was hoping to get as much interest as I could

    I have no political affiliation and am currently on the fence regarding how I choose to vote at the next election.

    I have been relatively naive on the subject of energy/electricity prior to becoming really interested over the past week or so - since the Libs Nuclear Energy plan/costings announcement.

    In my research I came across this chart (see the below link):
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6690/6690099-a1704aeb48dc3b93352590c716694ade.jpg
    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/electricity-production-by-source?country=~AUS

    If you use the link you can see the numbers related to the electricity production from each source (coal, gas, solar etc.) each year.

    Production (terrawatt-hours) per year are as follows (s+w = solar + wind production combined):
    - 2017 - coal 159 / gas 55 / s+w 22
    - 2020 - coal 143 / gas 53 / s+w 46
    - 2023 - coal 128 / gas 43 / s+w 80

    Noteworthy points:
    - Solar (in particular) + wind appear to have been comfortably replacing the loss of coal production each year.
    (almost double the extra s+w production [58TWh] as loss of coal production [31TWh] from 2017->2023)

    - Current rate of s+w production increase is ~11TWh per year from solar and wind, and this is accelerating.

    Summary:
    Based on continuation of the current trajectory, solar + wind electricity production appear a good chance to replace lost coal production within the next decade (covering lost 128TWh from coal = extra 12.8TWh/year average required from s+w).
    In any case they appear almost certain to do so within 15 years.

    My question to forum members:
    Why would we ever need to turn on a nuclear power plant if none are expected to be completed until after this time?

    It is not my intention to be inflammatory here, and I would like to get some other perspectives on what is clearly a complicated issue.

    Thanks, TruthHunter
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.