The process of winning this sort of government contract is extremely bureaucratic and requires everyone involved to create a shedload of documentation, which is often easily observable by coworkers etc and very difficult to keep completely secret. This is one of the reasons why the market generally "knows" which way a contract is going to go before it gets announced.
Recent market signals seem to suggest the GLE will get a lot more than Centrus.
Ultimate beneficial ownership doesn't really play a huge factor in these sorts of decisions. It's overwhelmingly what is in the personal interests of the decision makers that decides who wins and in a distant second place some consideration may be given to which option provides the best outcome for the country.
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