NUIX downgrade trend (Figures in $ million)TimelineRevenueAnnual...

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    NUIX downgrade trend (Figures in $ million)
    TimelineRevenueAnnual Contract ValueEBIDTA
    1December 2020$193.5$199.6$63.6
    2April 2021$180 - $185$168 - $177$64.6 - $66.6
    3May 2021 $173 - $182$165 - $172$64.6 - $66.6
    4Correction- (6 to 10)%- (14 to 17)%+ (1.5 to 4.5)%

    Points to note:
    1) Annual Contract Value: It is dynamic and keeps changing. It is just a key metric, not a deciding factor.
    MQG did not sign in time for FY2020-21 due to it's precarious position. I expect the ACV to be much higher than expected for period ending Dec 2021.

    2) Revenue: Downgrade is max. 10% and the stock price has been hammered ~75%.
    Clearly shows it is not about the revenue, it's about distrust in management and rightly so.

    3) EBIDTA: It is projected to increase by up to 4.5%. However, AUD/USD has fallen from 77c to 72c approx. 9% since 1st June, so EBIDTA is expected to be much better than projected as major revenue stream is from US.
    Last edited by Raeman: 18/08/21
 
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$2.41
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