re: oil prices to fall? why?
What is important is an understanding of the events.
You wrote: "IMHO the USA has no interest in attacking Iran, the whole idea is laughable (prodding at the border, flying drones and other hanky panky notwithstanding)".
Some time I wrote that the US won't attack Iran, because the Russians and Chinese are there.
If they hadn't been, the Bull in the China shop would.