re: oil prices. 6% say $100 The latest edition of The Atlantic (USA) has pundits on page 32 picking the oil price in June 2006.
It runs like this:-
Less than $30 =2% probability
$30-$40 = 10%
$40-$50 = 19%
$50 to $60 = 21%
$60 to $70= 17%
$70 to $80 = 12%
$80 to $90 = 8%
$90 to $100 = 5%
Above $100 = 6%
A companion article rund the line that oil prices will not decline until demand declines (ie via a fuel tax in the USA).
I hold WPL
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