Well key, depends on your investing style but I bought options yesterday and am up quite a bit (allowing for the time to hold).
The biggest and expected is the JSE slaughter tonight. The way I trade using buying, selling/buying pressure can mean amazing rides either up or down and the JSE has been a sitting duck for two months. It's also got a nice little leverage aspect to it as well.
Although you named all those possible reasons for oil to rise none of them is the reason for it's movement. It doesn't matter what oil you trade, one is arabian and one US.
But I never trade without knowing the probable movement of the trade. The indicators cut the risk down considerably.
It's the degree of sophistication that is required so you win more than you lose.
