BTA 0.00% 57.0¢ biota holdings limited

Miso, I think they have been explaining the plan. It's LANI....

  1. 13,950 Posts.
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    Miso, I think they have been explaining the plan.

    It's LANI. LANI. LANI.

    Put the plan into the context of the historical performance of Relenza.

    It generated around $175M ($25M p.a.) in revenue to Biota since stockpiling began in 2006. Im assuming most of this was stockpiling. All based on a crappy 20% market share and even crappier royalty rate of mainly 7%.

    So if we were to apply Jessie's estimated Biota piece of the pie for LANI of 54-66% (net?) for ROW stockpiling ex Japan to the above, that $175M (using base case of 50%) would have been $1.2B ($175M p.a.) at a crappy 20% market share.

    If we apply Japan market share to the above number, it becomes $3B ($430M p.a.).

    Rough as guts back of the envelope numbers with liberal dosing of rounding.

    So 175M RD (Relenza Dollars) converts into 3,000M LD.






 
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