Let's get quantitative. I assess the probability of losing all...

Let's get quantitative. I assess the probability of losing all my money on this one at about 30%. Just assume our hypothetical investor has put in 10 grand (to make it simple). So he stands to lose $3600. If it fires, PPX will conservatively be a 6 bagger. Let's assign a 70% probabilty to that outcome. Multiplying it out means a positive of $42 grand. Compare the two figures.

I can't see why people are not pretty keen on this one. I wish to add that I will not be buying any more, as I have hit my Allocation.

What figures would you others assign to the various outcomes?