The outlook for Yowie Group in 2016 is clearly bright, but just how bright do we think it actually will be?
I'm trying to form a rough outlook for 2016 using the limited 2015 info. I am hoping someone has a better understanding than I do. I am particularly keen to figure out whether they have got their costings right and what the gross margin/yowie is.
Two assumptions to start with:
1. I estimate that they sold about 1.2m yowies in 2015. This is a critical assumption, as it can be used to infer pricing and costs/yowie.
2. Estimate they well sell about 35m yowies in 2016. The actual number could be anywhere from 20-60m.
The first 'cut' of my model projects that Yowie Group will make a profit of around AUD6.0 or a bit under 3 cents per share in 2016.
Suggestions and comments please.
K
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