The outlook for Yowie Group in 2016 is clearly bright, but just...

The outlook for Yowie Group in 2016 is clearly bright, but just how bright do we think it actually will be?

I'm trying to form a rough outlook for 2016 using the limited 2015 info. I am hoping someone has a better understanding than I do. I am particularly keen to figure out whether they have got their costings right and what the gross margin/yowie is.

Two assumptions to start with:
1. I estimate that they sold about 1.2m yowies in 2015. This is a critical assumption, as it can be used to infer pricing and costs/yowie.
2. Estimate they well sell about 35m yowies in 2016. The actual number could be anywhere from 20-60m.

The first 'cut' of my model projects that Yowie Group will make a profit of around AUD6.0 or a bit under 3 cents per share in 2016.

Suggestions and comments please.

K