Outsource - Cost / Benefit Discussion, page-7

  1. 2,094 Posts.
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    Thanks.
    In terms of bottom line profitability, we would just need to look at the current level of annualized cash burn.
    Don't quote me on it and this is just an approximation, I see there being cash burn of roughly $11m per year.
    I am getting this figure from their latest March quarter ended cash flow statement which shows $11,247,000 in negative operating cash flow trailing 12 months. Remember Cash Flows into investing activities should not be seen as cash burn as it is dollars earned for future benefit so not an expense of the current period.

    In any case, at $957,800 in Operating Profit per machine, we can maybe expect FBR to break-even at around 11 machines, i.e. $11,000,000/$957,800=11.48 machines. 11 machines would only serve a tiny minute fraction of this Total Addressable Market available for low and medium density dwellings.

    These are just back of the envelope approximations. Not to be taken as investing advice. Better yet, expect these numbers to be incorrect and do your own research, etc.

    To all the obvious uninformed downrampers:
    If you want to try and have a go at proving me wrong then feel free to do so but at least back-up your assertions with concrete analysis like I have tried to do above.
    You are the quickest ones to try say how we are all mad and throwing our money away, etc. but you are never able to back up your one sided views with any type of analysis.
    Maybe one day one of you will surprise me. I am eagerly awaiting the day when I can learn something from you but I'm still waiting for you to add any value on these forums.
 
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