PAA 4.65% 20.5¢ pharmaust limited

PAA 2022 , Human Trials , Covid , MND , Oncology , HVTL-1, K9 Phase III, page-531

  1. 2,564 Posts.
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    Agree in some respects. Normally, im sure you can attest, this close to commencing a potentially pivotal drug trial you would see FOMO and natural SP increase. While im not interested in this as I dont generally trade, it is a good health and interest indicator. Why are we not seeing this :

    1. Overall market weakness?
    2. No mention of completion of MPL?
    3. Credibility of PAA to deliver?
    4. Likelihood that any reasonable success in trial won't be capitalised on by management? History proves this to be correct.
    5. Lack of trust brought on by the perhaps overstated interest by 'vet major' in the option which failed
    6. More hype in other areas such as commodities and not bio
    7. Feeling that the covid boat has sailed, despite MPL potentially being useful for other viruses and future scenarios
    8. Likelihood is that this is one small step in the bio timeline, and with PAA that timeline is not transparent or clearly communicated. We will be here a long time before your investment returns.
    9. Just to early to see the FOMO

    There are more but I think a little of each.

    but I guess like me this is for the moment balanced by:

    1. The science seems sound
    2. If there are blockbuster results, we live in hope someone with deeper pockets and more ability swoops in and delivers a return that management seem incapable of.

    Risk reward. At this point holding until year end seems a good decision.




 
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