PAA 2.50% 20.5¢ pharmaust limited

PAA, A New Dawn , FDA ODD Approval and Entering Phase II MND Trial, page-868

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    According to p values the chances of phase 1 results being replicated in a larger study are close to 90%. If phase 2/3 study results are similar or improved the chance of FDA approval is pretty close to 100%. You would have to ascribe a probability of less than 8% to justify today's low share price. If you gave the drug a 50% chance of approval the SP should be a minimum of $1.50.
 
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