@PharmD, based on my calculations I think $200 will be...

@PharmD, based on my calculations I think $200 will be achievable with $2500 AUD and 30% market penetration of the US OA market. IMO 50% will be a tall order, I'd be over the moon if it does reach that one day of course. Keep in mind that in terms of dollar value, the US drug market is approx half of the world's market. So capturing "just 30%" of the US market is equivalent to capturing ~15% of the entire world.

However, the above will mean nothing if we sell out too early. They say that out of vision, courage and patience - it is patience that is the rarest. Personally, I think losing patience is the #1 risk for myself. Mental preparation now for the crazy swings that are likely to come, is everything. Luckily, being a binary investment with only 2 possible outcomes actually makes it a whole lot easier to block out the noise from any short term movements (provided your overarching thesis remains unchanged).