CCR 1.72% 29.5¢ credit clear limited

Pathway to $100 million revenue

  1. 1,922 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 748
    • CCR made $8.6 mill in rev in the last quarter
    • That equates to a tad under $35 mill if you annualise it - (ie x4)
    • The last quarter is the worst quarter of the year - because Jan is very quiet
    • the next quarter will be much bigger just because it = 3 busy months (rather than 2 busy and 1 quiet)
    • therefore the next Q should yield at least $10 mill - which equates to $40mill annualised
    • so CCR are already well on their way to $100 mill
    • now add in the $7.7 mill lag from last year
    • plus the big 4 bank win
    • plus insurance
    • plus the $3 mill won in last quarter
    • and you get to $50 mill comfortably
    • at this point CCR will have about 9% market share of collections in Australia
    • total collections are estimated to be around $21 bill in Oz
    • total revenue from collections in Oz is estimated to be around $1.5 bill
    • (FYI there are some 675 collection agencies in Oz)
    • so to get to $100 mill in revenue CCR need to effectively double what they have already achieved
    • that means get to 18% market share of total collections
    • and 7% of collections revenue
    (bear in mind that many of the big collections agencies operate via debt purchasing - CCR does not do this - so different model)
    How could they do that?
    • become de facto product for insurance - already well on the way to this
    • win other big 4 banks - certainly in with a decent chance
    • continue to win $3 mill in new revenue each quarter from wider market ($12 mill pa)
    • achieve digital export to UK? Asia? US? - Techub looks like its a dead end!
    • tailwinds from stressed economy
    • continued trend for clients to stop 'selling' debt to the likes of CCP
    How long could this take?
    3 years?
    what would they be valued at if they accomplished this?
    $1 billion MC? a Disallowed from here

    Definitely possible! Food for thought!


 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add CCR (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
29.5¢
Change
0.005(1.72%)
Mkt cap ! $124.0M
Open High Low Value Volume
28.0¢ 29.5¢ 28.0¢ $87.03K 299.9K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 2597 28.5¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
29.5¢ 23833 2
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 05/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
CCR (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.