"Result is under 5%
So, is it possible that when people are polled they say they intend voting ON out of anger and frustration, but when the ballot paper is actually in front of them, the fair-minded voters can't bring themselves to vote ON."
Well Piste', under 5%; no you're in fact wrong!
According to the ABC's Antony Green, the ON result is 8.1% of the vote for those having an option of voting for ON or as you put it,
intending to vote ON.
So it would seem to me ON voters' intention were in line with the final Pre-election poll which was at 8.0% from memory. I'm not a big fan of polls or their accuracy but these WA polls which showed Pauline's support dropping from 13% to 8% [in the final fortnight?] appear now to have been accurate.
I'm not sure where you got your '10% and growing' polls from?
ONE NATION "FLOP"? NOT QUITE
Andrew Bolt, Herald Sun
March 13, 2017 7:41am
The media is gloating at One Nation's "flop" at the WA election. Yes, Pauline Hanson campaigned badly, was hurt by her preference swap with the Liberals and had candidates betray her.
Yet, One Nation still got an 8 per cent vote in the seats it contested in a state in which it's not strong.
It will also get one or possibly two seats in the upper house.
Even so, ABC's election analyst Antony Green points out that while One Nation polled 4.7 per cent overall, it actually managed 8.1 per cent in the seats it contested.
Its overall vote was higher in the Legislative Council:
In the Legislative Council where One Nation contested every region, One Nation polled 7.3%. One Nation faced more competition from other minor parties in the upper house compared to the lower.
And this after running a very lousy campaign in a state where it's never been strong. Journalists writing off One Nation are writing what they'd love to believe rather than the objective truth.
Yes, this election showed up two key vulnerabilities of the party: poor organisation that's led to even poorer selection of candidates; plus some of Pauline Hanson's wilder opinions.
I expect she will learn and improve, although there's no doubt she'll be and feel bruised. One key will be how she reacts: by digging into the trenches and becoming paranoid and embattled, or taking it on the chin and maintaining the non-threatening and open demeanour that has worked so well for her.
The Liberals should be scared that the real problem with the preference swap was that it hurt One Nation more to be associated with the despised Liberals than the other way around.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/bl...e/news-story/f4665cb873b2c6aea71cb381d24b3879
