Lets plot out a U cycle recovery estimate and what implications that has for Aura:
Estimated timeframes:
U Spot $35 plus 4Q 2019 - 2Q 2020 - Tiris given the funding go ahead = 3c sp
U Spot $45 plus 4Q 2020 - 2Q 2021 - Tiris moves into production with an annualised cashflow run rate of US$20m = 6c sp
U Spot $60 plus 4Q 2021 - 2Q 2022 - Tiris doubles capacity, cashflow run rate US$60m = 12c sp
U Spot $70 4Q 2022 - 2Q 2023 Tiris moves to 3mil pounds of capacity, cashflow run rate US$100m = 18c sp
Catalysts:
a) Sustained rise in the U Spot - 50% probability commences 2H 2019; 75% prob 2H 2020
b) Funding confirmation subject to U spot movement - 65% probability 4Q 2019; 75% prob 1H 2020
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16.0¢ |
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Mkt cap ! $138.0M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
16.0¢ | 16.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $87.03K | 546.1K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 10451 | 15.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
16.0¢ | 6466 | 1 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 90 | 0.170 |
2 | 9937 | 0.165 |
1 | 1996 | 0.160 |
3 | 10451 | 0.155 |
10 | 240331 | 0.150 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.135 | 10168 | 1 |
0.150 | 5620 | 5 |
0.160 | 13850 | 2 |
0.165 | 276177 | 3 |
0.170 | 226470 | 2 |
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