AEE 0.00% 18.5¢ aura energy limited

The Long View - the cycle recovery is on track with $30 plus...

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    The Long View - the cycle recovery is on track with $30 plus spot 4Q 2019; the DFS is delivered 3Q 2019 on favorable economics and clarity on project financing commences = 2-3c sp over 9 months (on track for 10-20c over 48 months).

    The Short View - the cycle recovery is delayed; further material delays in the DFS and/or the economics dont reflect all previous public disclosure; G&A expenses continue to be high for a micro cap = 0.6c sp over 9 months (the cycle spot price will determine sp over 48 months)

    Recent events which may create positive momentum:
    a) 35% turnover of the shareholder register = new shareholders will likely require increased alignment of interests;
    b) new financing options will likely be available assuming the DFS confirms great project economics
    c) reduced dilution to fund G&A moving forward

    Which outcome are you backing? Are both investment thesis' objective and reasonable?
 
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